I am not a health food fanatic. It’s possible that I purchased
something organic once or twice but, if I did, it was an accident. Yet
as I approach the border of my late 40s, my doctor’s advice is beginning
to resonate: eat less,Shop the latest from Michael Kors Classic Handbags. Totally free shipping and returns. exercise more.
The
parallel in financial planning, of course, is spend less, save more.
That’s often what I tell clients as a prelude to charting their
investment strategy. But just as good financial planning is not only
about spending less (although it helps), wellness is not only about
eating less. It’s also about eating healthy.
Enter Whole Foods Market Inc., a stock I have invested in because I believe it exemplifies the trend to healthier eating.
This
is not an aging baby boomer thesis. Consumers of all ages are becoming
more conscious of the quality of food they eat. And with good reason:
The most recent study, published in the Journal of the American Medical
Association, tracked more than 70,000 people over six years. Vegetarians
reported 12 per cent fewer deaths than meat-eaters, and were 19 per
cent less likely to die from heart disease. Even Bill Clinton has taken
notice and become a vegan.
Whole Foods is positioned at the
centre of this growing trend. It sells a teeming smorgasbord of meats
and vegetables, but much of it is produced and farmed organically.
That’s the key – no genetically engineered seeds or crops, no
long-lasting pesticides, herbicides or fungicides. Whole Foods provides a
total package of wellness, premised on the health and environmental
benefits of adopting organic standards.
The numbers confirm the
business case. Almost seven million customers visit its stores each
week, according to the company. In a flattish North American grocery
segment, with low to moderate food-price inflation, Whole Foods has
generated an impressive 15.9 per cent increase in comparable store sales
over the past two years.
This sales growth has big benefits for
the bottom line. Rent, labour, electricity and other items are
relatively fixed costs. Thus, incremental increases in sales, less the
cost of products sold, fall directly to the net income line, providing
operating leverage. For its April,welcome to michaels kors bags on sale,best
service and low prices. 2013, quarter, revenue increased 13 per cent,
but earnings per share rose 18 per cent, including preopening store
expenses. The bottom line: Earnings per share grew faster than revenue,
even with preopening expenses. This is a good thing.
Health food is no longer a niche segment. In its past fiscal year, Whole Foods racked up almost $12-billion (U.Welcome to Michael Kors Classic Tote
Outlet online now.S.) in sales – up from $2-billion in 2001 – or
roughly $35-million per store. As of June, 2013, there were 352 Whole
Foods stores. Over the longer term, the company’s target is 1,000 in
North America alone. Clearly, its owners don’t see the healthy eating
trend declining. Nor do I.
The bigger picture is this: Companies
that provide products that improve your life tend to make better
business models and better investments. Think of BlackBerry, when it
first made e-mail available on cellphones, or Apple, when it introduced
the iMac, iPhone, iPod and iPad.
The Whole Foods thesis is the
same. Its product is the organic lifestyle. It’s not just free-range
chicken and high-fibre oatmeal customers are buying – it’s a wellness
package. And their numbers will grow, especially as the economy improves
and U.S. unemployment falls below 7 per cent.
You may argue
that Whole Foods’s valuation is relatively high, or that its business
model is not sustainable, or that it could lose market share to Safeway,
Wal-Mart, Trader Joe’s, Kroger, The Fresh Market or Loblaw. But
valuation, I submit, is only one aspect of the decision to invest in a
company’s equity.
To do real research on Whole Foods, camp out
in one of their stores. Count the people buying premade smoothies in the
morning and organic meat on the way home. Then, you’ll understand why
it generates almost $1,000 per square foot per year in revenue, nearly
double its nearest direct competitor, The Fresh Market. Three years from
now, I believe today’s stock price will look cheap in hindsight.
Investors who shop at Whole Foods will earn a double reward – a
healthier diet and, I predict, a healthier portfolio.
I believe
there is ample room for a niche food company, just as there is room for
niche coffee at a premium price (Starbucks), niche handbags (Coach) and
niche exercise wear (Lululemon). Note, however, that while all these
companies began as niche products, they have become mainstream, creating
wealth for their equity owners.
In my hometown of
Ottawa, Whole Foods has agreed to become a tenant at the redeveloped
Lansdowne Park. I intend to be among its first customers.
Click on their website www.myshoe123.com for more information.
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